In the NFL, a 2-0 start doesn’t mean anything. Excluding the Dolphins, any team can start off with victories in their first two games. There isn’t a sport out there that changes so much from week to week. Small sample: Detroit Lions started off 2-0 last year. Does anyone remember anything about that team? No, because they were pretty bad from then on. They finished the rest of the season 5-9, ending at 7-9.
On the flip side it also doesn’t mean anything for a team to start 0-2. Last year, the Super Bowl winning Giants started off 0-2. Point is, teams can go on a roll. They can go on a downward roll or an upward roll. I’m going to dissect each end of the spectrum by going over the 2-0s and the 0-2s that matter.
The 2-0s:Dallas Cowboys- Beat Cleveland and Philadelphia.The Cowboys are very good, as you all know. The only question this team has is on defense. The offense is too good for the defense to matter on most weeks. I would be shocked if this team lost more than 3 games this season. I expect Dallas to keep it going and end up with the best record in the NFL.
The REAL DEAL.NY Giants- Beat Washington and St. Lois.The defending Super Bowl champs are off to a good start. Looking at their schedule, they should have no problems starting the season 6-0. Their first real test will be at Pittsburgh in week 8. From there, they’ll have to play several tough teams in consecutive weeks. Dallas, Philadelphia, and Baltimore (Baltimore is good this year. Record won’t be all that great but they have a good football team). Going 1-3 during that stretch is a real possibility.
THE REAL DEAL.Green Bay Packers- Beat Minnesota and Detroit.Let’s hold off on the crowning of Aaron Rodgers as a great QB. I think he’s a good QB but this team has deficiencies and Rogers has yet to face a good pass defense. I still think this team is an 8-8 or 9-7 team. This team will only make the playoffs by default. They play in a bad division. I still think there is a chance the Vikings can overtake them. Dennis Green comes to mind when talking about this team. At season’s end we’ll all be saying, “THEY ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE!”
FAKES.Carolina Panthers- Beat San Diego and Chicago.Carolina beat San Diego on the last play of the game and then beat Chicago in a similar fourth quarter comeback. Let’s give credit where credit is due, which is they hung in there and won the games w/o their best WR (Steve Smith). Reality is reality though. The Saints are the best team in this division. And Carolina has always been a streaky team. They will sputter to the finish line after their good start. Even if they make the playoffs, they will not get very far.
FAKES.Arizona Cardinals- Beat San Francisco and Miami.Not a great resume of victories there. If there were to be a Div II in the NFL, the Dolphins would fit the bill. Beating San Francisco doesn’t give you any bragging rights either. However, this team has some real players. The offense, as long as Kurt Warner remains healthy, is dangerous and will be among the top 5 of the NFL this year. It’s just asking a lot to expect Warner to stay healthy.The defense shows flashes of being good. And this division is quite possibly the worst in the NFL. This team could be playoff bound with an unimpressive record but they will be a dangerous opponent.
THE REAL DEAL. New England Patriots- Beat Kansas City and NY Jets.Let’s be real here. This team lost Tom Brady. They have played a really bad KC team and a mediocre NY Jets team. This week they play Div II Miami. At 3-0 they will look good. It won’t last. They will lose at least 6 games this year. Matt Cassel may be a capable player as long as things are going well. However, when he will need to put the team on his shoulders to carry them to victory they will realize just how weak they are w/o Tom Brady. The Patriots are about to see why the Vikings and the Raiders traded Moss to begin with. No QB = No point in playing hard every play. The snowball hasn’t started downhill yet but it will.
FAKES.Pittsburgh Steelers- Beat Houston and Cleveland.W/o Brady playing in New England, suddenly the Steelers are becoming a lot of people’s AFC pick for the Super Bowl. The picks are not unwarranted. The Steelers have a legitimate chance here. They are as good as any team in the AFC right now. The next 3 weeks will give is a true test of how good this team can be with games against Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Jacksonville on the horizon. There isn’t a doubt this is a playoff team. The only question is how will they play come playoff time?
THE REAL DEAL.Tennessee Titans- Beat Jacksonville and Cincinnati.Beating the Jags is something to brag about but beating the Bungals, not so much. The Titans never really dominate record wise but they have a great defense and a good enough offense. Vince Young is on the “Nut Case” list and unable to go. Kerry Collins doesn’t exactly say Super Bowl QB either. But, this team is built around defense and a great running game. It doesn’t really matter who the QB is as long as it’s not Joey Harrington. Chris Johnson and LenDale White are what this offense is built around. If Collins can make a few first downs with his arm, this team will climb up everyone’s radar very soon. It won’t be pretty but as long as DE Albert Haynesworth is healthy, this team will compete every week.
THE REAL DEAL. Denver Broncos- Beat Oakland and *San Diego.Notice the asterisk by SD. A win is a win because it counts in the standings as a win. But, this team needed a miracle at home to beat the only team that matters in this division. Denver is not as good as the record says. Their offense looks good but that defense looks very shaky. I’m not a believer and think Denver will end up 2nd in the AFC West. If they get in the playoffs (queue the Jim Mora tape, “Playoffs!?....Playoffs??!!) they won’t get far.
FAKES.Now the 0-2 teams that matter……The Minnesota Vikings.The Vikings have a pretty good team despite their 0-2 record. I think the QB change will do them some good and as long as Adrian Peterson remains on the field healthy, this team can beat the Packers for the NFC North title. I think the 0-2 start vs the 2-0 start by the Packers may be hard to overcome but this team will make a run at it. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Vikings in the playoffs in place of those Packers.
The San Diego Chargers.I think they will bounce back and still win the AFC West ahead of the Denver Broncos despite starting off 0-2. Yes it hurts to lose Shawne Merriman. But this team can still outscore people. And they have a good enough defense to compete. I don’t like Philip Rivers personally, but he’s tough and a good NFL QB. LT is still one of the best RBs in the league, when healthy. Even if he’s not, this team has capable backups. Sproles is as good as Devin Hester on special teams and certainly can fill in for LT if needed. Point is there is too much talent on this roster for them not to bounce back and I expect them to.